Global: Found 214 items
Methodologies
Official Sector (184 items)
Source Title (Date)
Asian Development Bank Handbook on International Best Practices in Credit Rating (December, 2008)
Bank for International Settlements (Deep, A.) Optimal dynamic hedging using futures under a borrowing constraint (January, 2002)
CEMFI and Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) (Repullo, R.) Liquidity, Risk Taking, and the Lender of Last Resort (September, 2005)
European Central Bank (Bussiere, M. et al.) Towards a New Early Warning System of Financial Crises (May, 2002)
IMF Currency Bloc Formation as a Dynamic Process Based on Trade Network Externalities (November, 2004)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (April, 2006)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (September, 2003)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (December, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (September, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (June, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (April, 2005)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (April, 2004)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (March, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (September, 2004)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (September, 2005)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 3 (March, 2003)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (December, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (September, 2005)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (September, 2003)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (June, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (April, 2005)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (September, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (March, 2003)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (April, 2004)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 (September, 2004)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Chapter 4 and 5 (March, 2002)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Containing Systemic Risks and Restoring Financial Soundness (April, 2008)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Financial Market Turbulence: Causes, Consequences, and Policies (October, 2007)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Financial Stress and Deleveraging Macro-Financial Implications and Policy (October, 2008)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Market Developments and Issues (April, 2007)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Navigating the Financial Challenges Ahead (October, 2009)
IMF Global Financial Stability Report: Responding to the Financial Crisis and Measuring Systemic Risks (April, 2009)
IMF Vulnerability Indicators: A Factsheet (April, 2008)
IMF (Abiad, A et al) The Quality Effect: Does Financial Liberalization Improve the Allocation of Capital? (June, 2004)
IMF (Abiad, Abdul and Taimur Baig) Underlying Factors Driving Fiscal Effort in Emerging Market Economies (June 1, 2005)
IMF (Aisen, Ari et al) Political Instability and Inflation Volatility (September 1, 2006)
IMF (Alichi, A.) A Model of Sovereign Debt in Democracies (June 1, 2008)
IMF (Arnone, Marco et al.) Measures of Central Bank Autonomy: Empirical Evidence for OECD, Developing, and Emerging Market Economies (October 1, 2006)
IMF (Arnone, Marco et al.) The Measurement of Central Bank Autonomy: Survey of Models, Indicators, and Empirical Evidence (October 1, 2006)
IMF (Attie, A., & Roache, S.) Inflation Hedging for Long-Term Investors (April 1, 2009 )
IMF (Avesani, Renzo G., Garcia Pascual, Antonio, Li, Jing) A New Risk Indicator and Stress Testing Tool: A Multifactor Nth-to-Default CDS Basket (April 1, 2006)
IMF (Baldacchi, E et al) Social Spending, Human Capital, and Growth in Developing Countries: Implications for Achieving the MDGs (November, 2004)
IMF (Basci, E et al) On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules (July, 2004)
IMF (Basurto Segoviano, Miguel and Padilla, Pablo) Portfolio Credit Risk and Macroeconomic Shocks: Applications to Stress Testing Under Data-Restricted Environments (December 1, 2006)
IMF (Benes, Jaromir et al.) A Simple DGE Model for Inflation Targeting (August 1, 2007)
IMF (Benes, Jaromir et al.) Modeling with Macro-Financial Linkages: Credit and Policy Shocks in Emerging Markets (June 1, 2009)
IMF (Berkmen, P.) Precautionary Monetary and Fiscal Policies (February, 2007)
IMF (Berkmen, S. Pelin et al.) Exchange Rate Policy and Liability Dollarization: What Do the Data Reveal About Causality? (February, 2007)
IMF (Bolt, Wilko and Alexander F. Tieman) Banking Competition, Risk, and Regulation (January 1, 2004 )
IMF (Bolton, Patrick et al.) Structuring and Restructuring Sovereign Debt: The Role of a Bankruptcy Regime (August 1, 2007)
IMF (Borenzstein, E. et al.) Sovereign Ceilings “Lite”? The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Corporate Ratings in Emerging Market Economies (April, 2007)
IMF (Botman, D. et al.) DSGE Modeling at the Fund: Applications and Further Developments (August 1, 2007)
IMF (Boyd, John H. et al.) Crisis in Competitive versus Monopolistic Banking Systems (September 1, 2003)
IMF (Boz, E.) Can Miracles Lead to Crises? The Role of Optimism in Emerging Markets Crises (September 1, 2007)
IMF (Bravo-Ortega, C and Giovanni, J)) Remoteness and Real Exchange Rate Volatility (January, 2005)
IMF (Broner, Fernando et al.) When in Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion (July, 2004)
IMF (Canales Kriljenko, Jorge Iván, Kisinbay, Turgut, Maino, Rodolfo, Parrado, Eric) Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts (May 1, 2006)
IMF (Canales-Kriljenko, Jorge et al.) Structural Factors Affecting Exchange Rate Volatility: A Cross-Section Study (August, 2004)
IMF (Capuano, C.) The Option-iPoD. The Probability of Default Implied by Option Prices Based on Entropy (August 1, 2008)
IMF (Carare, Alina and Tchaidze, Robert) The Use and Abuse of Taylor Rules: How Precisely Can We Estimate Them? (July 1, 2005)
IMF (Cashin, Paul et al.) Parity Reversion in Real Exchange Rates: Fast, Slow or Not at All? (July, 2004 )
IMF (Catao, Luis et al.) Missing Link: Volatility and the Debt Intolerance Paradox (March, 2004)
IMF (Celasun, Oya and Joong Shik Kang) On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions (July 1, 2006)
IMF (Cerra, V. et al.) Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy (August 1, 2008)
IMF (Cerra, Valerie and Saxena, Sweta Chaman) Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery (July 1, 2005)
IMF (Chan-Lau, et al) Distance-to-Default in Banking: A Bridge Too Far? (September, 2006)
IMF (Chan-Lau, J.A) Pension Funds and Emerging Markets (September, 2004)
IMF (Chan-Lau, Jorge A. and Ong, Li L.) U.S. Mutual Fund Retail Investors in International Equity Markets: Is the Tail Wagging the Dog? (August 1, 2005)
IMF (Chan-Lau, Jorge A. et al.) An Option-Based Approach to Bank Vulnerabilities in Emerging Markets (February, 2004)
IMF (Chan-Lau, Jorge A. et al.) Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk: Modeling, Measurement, and Surveillance Applications (December 1, 2006)
IMF (Chan-Lau, Jorge A. et al.) Equity Prices, Credit Default Swaps, and Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets (February, 2004)
IMF (Choudhri, Ehsan et al.) Real Exchange Rates in Developing Countries: Are Balassa-Samuelson Effects Present? (October, 2004 )
IMF (Ciccarelli, M.; Rebucci, A.) Measuring Contagion with a Bayesian Time-Varying Coefficient Model (September 1, 2003 )
IMF (Cihák, M.) Introduction to Applied Stress Testing (March, 2007)
IMF (Cipriani, M.; Guarino, A.) Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: An Experiment with Financial Market Professionals (June 1, 2008)
IMF (Cordella, T. et al.) Country Insurance (July, 2004)
IMF (Croce, Enzo et al.) Performance of Western Hemisphere Trading Blocs: A Cost-Corrected Gravity Approach (June, 2004)
IMF (Crowe, Christopher et al.) Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness (May 1, 2008)
IMF (de Bolle, Monica et al.) The Level and Composition of Public Sector Debt in Emerging Market Crises (August 1, 2006)
IMF (De Nicoló, G. and Loukoianova, E.) Bank Ownership, Market Structure and Risk (September 1, 2007)
IMF (Demertzis M, Tieman A) Robust Versus Optimal Rules in Monetary Policy: A Note (June, 2004)
IMF (Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli et al.) Banking on the Principles: Compliance with Basel Core Principles and Bank Soundness (October 1, 2006)
IMF (Di Bella, G. et al.) Assessing Competitiveness and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Low-Income Countries (August 1, 2007)
IMF (Dungey, Mardi et al.) Empirical Modeling of Contagion: A Review of Methodologies (May 1, 2004)
IMF (Engel, C. & Matsumoto, A.) The International Diversification Puzzle when Goods Prices are Sticky: It's Really about Exchange-Rate Hedging, not Equity Portfolios (January 1, 2009)
IMF (Flood, R and Rose, A) Financial Integration: A New Methodology and an Illustration (June, 2004)
IMF (Flood, Robert P. et al.) International Risk Sharing During the Globalization Era (September 1, 2009)
IMF (Frank, N. et al.) Transmission of Liquidity Shocks: Evidence from the 2007 Subprime Crisis (August 1, 2008)
IMF (Funke, Norbert et al.) Terms of Trade Shocks and Economic Recovery (February 1, 2008)
IMF (Gapen, Michael T. et al.) Measuring and Analyzing Sovereign Risk with Contingent Claims (August 1, 2005)
IMF (Gasha, J. Giancarlo et al.) Identifying Threshold Effects in Credit Risk Stress Testing (August, 2004)
IMF (Gelos, R.G) Sovereign Borrowing by Developing Countries: What Determines Market Access? (November, 2004)
IMF (Groome, Todd et al) The Limits of Market-Based Risk Transfer and Implications for Managing Systemic Risks (September, 2006)
IMF (Guscina, Anastasia) Impact of Macroeconomic, Political, and Institutional Factors on the Structure of Government Debt in Emerging Market Countries (August 1, 2008)
IMF (Hartelius, Kristian, et. al) Emerging Market Spread Compression: Is it Real or is it Liquidity? (January, 2008)
IMF (Heenan, Geoffrey et. al) Implementing Inflation Targeting: Institutional Arrangements, Target Design, and Communications (December 1, 2006)
IMF (Hofman, D. et al.) Insuring Public Finances Against Natural Disasters--A Survey of Options and Recent Initiatives (August 1, 2006)
IMF (Hofmann, Boris et al) Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices (September 1, 2006)
IMF (Hostland, Doug and Philippe D. Karam) Specification of a Stochastic Simulation Model for Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies (December 1, 2006)
IMF (Houben. A et al) Toward a Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability (June, 2004)
IMF (Huizinga, Harry et al.) Accounting Discretion of Banks During a Financial Crisis (September 1, 2009)
IMF (Hviding, Ketil et al.) Can Higher Reserves Help Reduce Exchange Rate Volatility? (October, 2004)
IMF (Imbs, J. et al.) Pooling Risk Among Countries (June 1, 2007)
IMF (Ize, Alain et al.) Prudential Responses to De Facto Dollarization (April 1, 2004)
IMF (J. Peter Neary) Measuring Competitiveness (September 2006)
IMF (Jacobs, D.) A Review of Capital Budgeting Practices (June 1, 2008)
IMF (Jeanne, Olivier) Debt Maturity and the International Financial Architecture (July, 2004)
IMF (Jobst, A.) Operational Risk--The Sting is Still in the Tail but the Poison Depends on the Dose (October 1, 2007)
IMF (Jones, M.T et al) Stress Testing Financial Systems: What to Do When the Governor Calls (July, 2004)
IMF (Ju, Jiandong and Wei, Shang-Jin) Endowment versus Finance: A Wooden Barrel Theory of International Trade (June 1, 2005)
IMF (Kim, S. and Mody, A.) Managing Confidence in Emerging Market Bank Runs (December, 2004)
IMF (Kose, M. Ayhan et al.) How Does Financial Globalization Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels (October 1, 2007)
IMF (Kruger, Mark et al.) Sovereign Debt Defaults and Financing Needs (March, 2004)
IMF (Kumah Francis Y. and John Matovu) Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance (September 1, 2005)
IMF (Kumhof, M. et al.) Monetary Policy in an Equilibrium Portfolio Balance Model (March, 2007)
IMF (Kumhof, Michael et al.) Balance of Payments Crises Under Inflation Targeting (April, 2007)
IMF (Lama, R. and Medina, J.) Optimal Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy Under Segmented Asset Markets and Sticky Prices (September 1, 2007)
IMF (Laxton, D., et al.) Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT) (March 1, 2009)
IMF (Lee, Jaewoo) Insurance Value of International Reserves: An Option Pricing Approach (September, 2004)
IMF (Leigh, Daniel et al) Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy: Lessons from Gabon (August 1, 2006)
IMF (Loayza, Norman and Romain Ranciere) Financial Development, Financial Fragility, and Growth (August 1, 2005)
IMF (Luca Antonio Ricci) Exchange Rate Regimes, Location, and Specialization (April, 2006)
IMF (Mackenzie, G.A & Schrager, A) Can The Private Annuity Market Provide Secure Retirement Income? (December, 2005)
IMF (Mandeng, O.J) Intercreditor Distribution in Sovereign Debt Restructuring (September, 2004)
IMF (Mitra, Srobona) Is the Quantity of Government Debt a Constraint for Monetary Policy? (March1, 2007)
IMF (Moretti, M. et al.) Stress Testing at the IMF (September 1, 2008)
IMF (Moszoro, Marian et al.) Optimal Capital Structure of Public-Private Partnerships (January 1, 2008)
IMF (Ong, Li Lian et al.) The Role of Mature Market Mutual Funds in Emerging Markets: Myth or Mayhem? (July, 2004)
IMF (Paolo Manasse) Deficit Limits and Fiscal Rules for Dummies (June 1, 2005)
IMF (Papaioannou, Michael G.) Exchange Rate Risk Measurement and Management: Issues and Approaches for Firms (November 1, 2006)
IMF (Papaioannou, Michael G. et al.) A Primer for Risk Measurement of Bonded Debt from the Perspective of a Sovereign Debt Manager (August, 2006)
IMF (Parrado, Eric) Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy (February, 2004)
IMF (Pattillo, Catherine et al.) What Are the Channels Through Which External Debt Affects Growth? (January 1, 2004 )
IMF (Pescatori, Andrea et al.) Debt Crises and the Development of International Capital Markets (March, 2004)
IMF (Ricci, Luca Antonio et al.) Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A Cross-Country Perspective (January 1, 2008)
IMF (Roache, Shaun et al.) Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets (August, 2006)
IMF (Rossi, M.) Pricing Fund Liquidity Provision (February, 2007)
IMF (Singh, M.) Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High in Emerging Markets-An Alternative Methodology for Proxying Recovery Value (December, 2003)
IMF (Staines, Nicholas) Economic Performance Over the Conflict Cycle (June, 2004)
IMF (Stella, Peter et al.) Issues in Central Bank Finance and Independence (February 1, 2008)
IMF (Surti, Jay) Rational Speculation, Financial Crises, and Optimal Policy Responses (February, 2004)
IMF (Vandenbussche, Jerome) Elements of Optimal Monetary Policy Design (December 1, 2006)
IMF (Worrell, D.) Stressing to Breaking Point: Interpreting Stress Test Results (June 1, 2008)
IMF (Worrell, DeLisle) Quantitative Assessment of the Financial Sector: An Integrated Approach (August, 2004)
IMF (Wu, Yi) The Role of Institutional Quality in a Currency Crisis Model (January, 2008)
IMF (Yartey, Charles A.) Financial Development, the Structure of Capital Markets, and the Global Digital Divide (November 1, 2006)
IMF (Zanforlin, L.) Re-Accessing International Capital Markets after Financial Crises: Some Empirical Evidence (June 1, 2007)
MIGA World Investment and Political Risk (2009)
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Indirect Expropriation and the Right to Regulate in International Investment Law (September, 2004)
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (Bossetti, Valentina et al.) The Incentives to Participate in and the Stability of International Climate Coalitions: A Game-Theoretic Approach Using the WITCH Model (June 30, 2009)
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (Burniaux, Jean-Marc et al.) The Economics of Climate Change Mitigation: How to Build the Necessary Global Action in a Cost-effective Manner (June 2, 2009)
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (Burniaux, Jean-Marc et al.) The Economics of Climate Change Mitigation: How to Build the Necessary Global Action in a Cost-Effective Manner (June 2, 2009)
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (Slok, T. & Kennedy, M.) Factors Driving Risk Premia (April 29, 2004)
United Nations University - World Institute for Development Economics Research Microsimulation, CGE and Macro Modelling for Transition and Developing Economies (June, 2004)
United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) WTO World Tourism Barometer: Methodological Note on Forecasting (2006)
World Bank Global Development Finance 2005: Mobilizing Finance and Managing Vulnerability (April, 2005)
World Bank Global Development Finance 2006: The Development Potential of Surging Capital Flows (2006)
World Bank Global Development Finance 2007: The Globalization of Corporate Finance in Developing Countries (2007)
World Bank Global Development Finance 2008: The Role of International Banking (2008)
World Bank Global Development Finance: External Debt of Developing Countries (2010)
World Bank & PricewaterhouseCoopers Paying Taxes 2008 - The Global Picture (2008)
World Bank (Beck, T. et al) Benchmarking financial development (June 1, 2008)
World Bank (Beck, Thorsten et al) Finance, Firm Size and Growth (September 8, 2004)
World Bank (Calderon, Cesar and Luis Serven) The Effects of Infrastructure Development on Growth and Income Distribution (September, 2004)
World Bank (Calomiris, Charles W., et al.) A Taxonomy of Financial Crisis Resolution Mechanisms: Cross-Country Experience (August, 2004)
World Bank (Canning, Partick, Wang, Zhi) A Flexible Modeling Framework to Estimate Interregional Trade Patterns and Input-Output Accounts (July, 2004)
World Bank (Chiquier, Loic et al.) Mortgage Securities in Emerging Markets (August, 2004)
World Bank (Claessens, Stijn et al.) International Financial Integration through Equity Markets: Which Firms from Which Countries Go Global? (March, 2007)
World Bank (Claessens, Stijn et al.) Resolving Systemic Financial Crisis (August, 2004)
World Bank (de la Torre, A. et al) Bank involvement with SMEs : beyond relationship lending (June 18, 2008)
World Bank (Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli et al.) Finance and Economic Opportunity (January, 2008)
World Bank (Domac, Ilker et al.) What Triggers Inflation in Emerging Market Economies? (August, 2004)
World Bank (Estache, Antonio et al.) Are Returns to Private Infrastructure in Developing Countries Consistent with Risks Since the Asian Crisis? (August, 2004)
World Bank (Ghesquiere, F. and Mahul, O.) Sovereign natural disaster insurance for developing countries: a paradigm shift in catastrophe risk financing (September 10, 2007)
World Bank (Hoekman, Bernard) Liberalizing Trade in Services: A Survey (2006)
World Bank (Honohan, Patrick) Dollarization and Exchange Rate Fluctuations (March, 2007)
World Bank (Keefer, P.) Elections, Special Interests and the Fiscal Costs of Financial Crisis
World Bank (Klytchnikova, I. et al.) Measuring Welfare Gains from Better Quality Infrastructure (April, 2007)
World Bank (Levine, R) The Corporate Governance of Banks: A Concise Discussion of Concepts and Evidence (September, 2004)
World Bank (Lopez, Humberto et al.) Too Poor to Grow (August 1, 2009)
World Bank (Montalvo, J. et al.) Ethnic Polarization and the Duration of Civil Wars (April, 2007)
World Bank (Murphy, P.L & Musalem, A.R) Pension Funds and National Saving (August 24, 2004)
World Bank (Nenova, Tatiana) Takeover Laws and Financial Development (2006)
World Bank Institute (Kaufmann, Daniel) Myths and Realities of Governance and Corruption (2005)
Direct Business (1 items)
Source Title (Date)
Credit Suisse First Boston CreditRisk+
Third Party (29 items)
Source Title (Date)
Business Monitor International Political Risk Rating Dynamics (2004)
Cambridge University (Jamash, Tooraj, and Michael Pollitt) Benchmarking and Regulation of Electricity Transmission and Distribution Utilities: Lessons from International Experience (December, 2000)
Canadian Underwriter (Galvao, D.) Handling Global Political Risk (2007)
Centro di Ricerca sui Processi di Innovazione e Internazionalizzazione (Altomonte, C.) Regional Economic Integration and the Location of Multinational Enterprises (February, 2004)
Council on Foreign Relations Crisis Guide: The Global Economy (2009)
Council on Foreign Relations Global Governance Monitor
Equator Principles Financial Institutions (EPFI) A Financial Industry Benchmark for Determining, Assessing, and Managing Social and Environmental Risk in Project Financing (July, 2006 )
Financial Policy Forum (Setty, Gautam and Randall Dodd) Credit Rating Agencies: Their Impact on Capital Flows to Developing Countries (April, 2003)
Global Business Network Consulting
Institute for International Economics (Noland, Marcus) Popular Attitudes, Globalization, and Risk (July, 2004)
International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) MARKAL-EQUITY Modelling
Moody's Self Registration Page
National Bureau for Economic Research (NBER) (Broner, Fernando A. et al.) Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term? (May, 2007)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) (Mocan, Naci) What Determines Corruption? International Evidence from Microdata (April, 2004)
North-South Institute Working Papers
Pro-Poor Tourism Partnership (Roe, Dilys et al.) Addressing Poverty Issues in Tourism Standards (February, 2003)
Pro-Poor Tourism Partnership (Roe, Dilys et al.) Tourism and the Poor: Analysing and Interpreting Tourism Statistics from a Poverty Perspective, by (March, 2004)
SOMO - Center for Research on Multinational Corporations (Vander Stichele, M.) Critical Issues in the Financial Industry (March, 2004)
Standard & Poor's CDO Evaluator
The PRS Group Handbook of Country and Political Risk Analysis [For Purchase]
Transparency International The National Integrity System Assessments
University of Sussex - Institute of Development Studies (Griffith-Jones, Stephany et al.) Basel II and Developing Countries: Diversificationand Portfolio Effects (December, 2002)
World Economic Forum Global Growth@Risk (2007)
World Economic Forum Global Risks 2009 (January, 2009)
World Economic Forum Scenario Planning
World Economic Forum The Global Economic Impact of Private Equity (2008)
World Economic Forum (WEF) Building on the Monterrey Consensus: The Untapped Potential of Development Finance Institutions to Catalyse Private Investment (Executive Summary) (2006)
World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Risks Report 2008 (January, 2008)
World Economic Forum (WEF) (Hausmann, Ricardo et al.) Global Risks Report 2007 (January, 2007)